| Move 1 Orange |
|
|
| Pip: 167 | ||
| Pip: 167 | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
| * | 1 | 3 | 24/13 | 0.059 |
| 2 | 3 | 24/18 13/8 | 0.027 (-0.032) | |
| 3 | 3 | 13/7 13/8 | -0.040 (-0.098) | |
| Move 1 White |
|
|
| Pip: 167 | ||
| Pip: 156 | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
| * | 1 | 2 | 8/5 6/5 | -0.014 |
| 2 | 2 | 24/23 13/10 | -0.135 (-0.121) | |
| 3 | 2 | 13/10 6/5 | -0.138 (-0.124) | |
| Move 2 Orange |
|
|
| Pip: 163 | ||
| Pip: 156 | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
| * | 1 | 2 | 24/13 | 0.136 |
| 2 | 2 | 24/18 13/8 | -0.045 (-0.181) | |
| 3 | 1 | 13/7 13/8 | -0.147 (-0.283) | |
| Move 2 White |
|
|
| Pip: 163 | ||
| Pip: 145 | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
| * | 1 | 3 | 24/23 13/8 | -0.155 |
| 2 | 3 | 13/7 | -0.189 (-0.034) | |
| 3 | 3 | 13/8 6/5 | -0.199 (-0.044) | |
| Move 3 Orange |
|
|
| Pip: 157 | ||
| Pip: 145 | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
| 1 | 3 | 13/8 13/10 | 0.173 | |
| * | 2 | 3 | 8/3 6/3 | 0.167 (-0.006) |
| 3 | 1 | 13/10 6/1* | -0.066 (-0.239) | |
| Move 3 White |
|
|
| Pip: 157 | ||
| Pip: 137 | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
| 1 | 3 | 13/8 6/4 | -0.207 | |
| 2 | 3 | 13/8 13/11 | -0.215 (-0.008) | |
| * | 5 | 3 | 23/21 8/3 | -0.225 (-0.019) |
|
The back checkers are already split, white now needs to make ANY anchor (the 2 point has some nice holding features too), or hit a fly shot. Comming up and slotting inside has the drawbacks of "split and slot" described by X-22. And I am not really sure whether the 4 point will be a better anchor than the 2 point. |
| Move 4 Orange |
|
|
| Pip: 150 | ||
| Pip: 137 | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
| * | 1 | 1 | 13/3 | 0.208 |
| 2 | 1 | 8/2 6/2 | -0.006 (-0.214) | |
| 3 | 1 | 13/7 8/4* | -0.110 (-0.318) | |
| Move 4 White |
|
|
| Pip: 150 | ||
| Pip: 127 | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
| 1 | 3 | 13/7 6/3 | -0.164 | |
| * | 2 | 3 | 24/18 21/18 | -0.219 (-0.055) |
| 3 | 3 | 13/4 | -0.230 (-0.067) | |
| Blunder (0.055) |
|
Now that White split to the 4 point he feels obliged to hae the bar, but this gives a plenty of time to Black to roll his clearing double form the 6 point "capital". |
| Move 5 Orange |
|
|
| Pip: 141 | ||
| Pip: 127 | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
| * | 1 | 3 | 13/8 | 0.220 |
| 2 | 3 | 6/2 3/2 | 0.134 (-0.086) | |
| 3 | 2 | 6/2 6/5 | 0.110 (-0.111) | |
| Move 5 White |
|
|
| Pip: 141 | ||
| Pip: 122 | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
| 1 | 3 | 13/9 8/2 | -0.202 | |
| 2 | 3 | 13/7 13/9 | -0.203 (-0.001) | |
| * | 5 | 3 | 13/3 | -0.213 (-0.011) |
| Move 6 Orange |
|
|
| Pip: 131 | ||
| Pip: 122 | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
| * | 1 | 2 | 13/2 | 0.255 |
| 2 | 2 | 8/2 6/1 | 0.141 (-0.114) | |
| 3 | 1 | 8/2 8/3 | -0.164 (-0.419) | |
| Move 6 White |
|
|
| Pip: 131 | ||
| Pip: 111 | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
| * | 1 | 3 | 8/4 6/4 | -0.315 |
| 2 | 3 | 13/9 6/4 | -0.316 (-0.001) | |
| 3 | 2 | 8/4 8/6 | -0.317 (-0.002) | |
| Move 7 Orange |
|
|
| Pip: 125 | ||
| Pip: 111 | ||
| Cube action equity | Correct decision not to double | ||
| 3-Ply | Money equity: | 0.318 | |
| 0.2% 2.5% 65.6% 34.4% 2.1% 0.2% | |||
| Double decision | Good enough: | 4% | |
| Too good to double: | 0% | ||
| Take decision | Current Cube | Doubled Cube | Borderline |
| Equities | 0.317 | 0.305 | 0.613 |
| Proper cube action: No double, take | |||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
| * | 1 | 3 | 13/5 | 0.334 |
| 2 | 3 | 8/5 6/1 | 0.254 (-0.079) | |
| 3 | 2 | 13/8 6/3 | 0.230 (-0.104) | |
| Move 7 White |
|
|
| Pip: 125 | ||
| Pip: 103 | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
| 1 | 3 | 6/2 | -0.381 | |
| * | 2 | 3 | 13/9 | -0.383 (-0.002) |
| 3 | 3 | 13/10 8/7 | -0.384 (-0.003) | |
| Move 8 Orange |
|
|
| Pip: 121 | ||
| Pip: 103 | ||
| Cube action equity | Correct decision not to double | ||
| 3-Ply | Money equity: | 0.386 | |
| 0.2% 2.9% 68.7% 31.3% 1.9% 0.2% | |||
| Double decision | Good enough: | 19% | |
| Too good to double: | 0% | ||
| Take decision | Current Cube | Doubled Cube | Borderline |
| Equities | 0.385 | 0.373 | 0.615 |
| Proper cube action: No double, take | |||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
| * | 1 | 3 | 13/9(3) 9/5 | 0.789 |
| 2 | 3 | 13/9(3) 8/4 | 0.765 (-0.024) | |
| 3 | 3 | 13/9(3) 5/1 | 0.758 (-0.031) | |
| Joker (0.410) |
| Move 8 White |
|
|
| Pip: 121 | ||
| Pip: 87 | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
| 1 | 3 | 18/12(2) 12/6 8/2 | -0.512 | |
| 2 | 2 | 18/12(2) 12/6 9/3 | -0.518 (-0.007) | |
| * | 10 | 3 | 13/7(2) 9/3 8/2 | -0.551 (-0.040) |
|
White cannot hold the two points in front of his barpoint anchor. His best chance is to run as he may not do this safely later. |
| Move 9 Orange |
|
|
| Pip: 97 | ||
| Pip: 87 | ||
| Cube action equity | Missed double | ||
| 3-Ply | Money equity: | 0.546 | |
| 0.0% 0.6% 77.1% 22.9% 0.1% 0.0% | |||
| Double decision | Good enough: | 127% | |
| Too good to double: | 0% | ||
| Take decision | Current Cube | Doubled Cube | Borderline |
| Equities | 0.546 | 0.544 | 0.616 |
| Proper cube action: Double, take | |||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
| * | 1 | 3 | 9/3 9/5 | 0.582 |
| 2 | 3 | 8/2 6/2 | 0.573 (-0.009) | |
| 3 | 3 | 8/2 5/1 | 0.568 (-0.014) | |
|
This is a double, of course. 10 pips on roll. |
| Move 9 White |
|
|
| Pip: 97 | ||
| Pip: 77 | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
| 1 | 3 | 18/15 7/6 | -0.701 | |
| 2 | 3 | 7/4 3/2 | -0.705 (-0.004) | |
| * | 5 | 3 | 6/2 | -0.717 (-0.016) |
| Move 10 Orange |
|
|
| Pip: 93 | ||
| Pip: 77 | ||
| 10. | Orange | Double |
 |
| White | Pass | |
|
| svilo wins 1 point. |
| Game 4 statistics | ||
| Player | svilo | acepoint |
| Overall | 0.338 | 0.752 |
| Rating | world class | expert |
| Error rate | 0.067 | 1.588 |
| Nb errors (Nb blunders) | 0 (0) | 2 (1) |
| Luck rate (Nb joker) | 2.261 (1) | -2.261 (0) |
| Nb unforced moves | 9 | 9 |
| Nb wrong double | 0 (DP: 0.00 TG: 0.00) | 0 (DP: 0.00 TG: 0.00) |
| Nb missed double | 1 (DP: 3.04 TG: 0.00) | 0 (DP: 0.00 TG: 0.00) |
| Overall doubling error | 1 (DP: 3.04 TG: 0.00) | 0 (DP: 0.00 TG: 0.00) |
| Nb wrong take | 0 (0.00) | 0 (0.00) |
| Nb wrong pass | 0 (0.00) | 0 (0.00) |
| Overall take error | 0 (0.00) | 0 (0.00) |
