Move 1 Orange





 
Pip: 167
 
Pip: 167
 

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 3 24/18 13/11 0.044
  2 3 24/16 0.023 (-0.022)
  3 3 13/5 0.006 (-0.038)


Move 1 White





 
Pip: 167
 
Pip: 159
 

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 3 24/20 13/8 -0.149
  2 3 24/20 6/1* -0.151 (-0.001)
  3 3 24/15 -0.190 (-0.041)


Move 2 Orange





 
Pip: 158
 
Pip: 159
 

# Ply Move Equity
  1 3 6/5*/1* 0.055
* 2 3 11/7 8/7 0.019 (-0.037)
  3 3 18/14 6/5* 0.005 (-0.050)
I thought I better have one point and then wait to hit some enemy checker in the blot hitting to follow. But I left to him all possible ways to develop initiative or make his golden anchor.


Move 2 White





 
Pip: 158
 
Pip: 154
 

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 2 8/7*(2) 6/5(2) 0.334
  2 2 8/7*/6 6/5(2) 0.183 (-0.151)
  3 1 24/23 8/7* 6/5(2) 0.139 (-0.195)
Alert: Joker (0.350)
Yes. This is only one of the ways.


Move 3 Orange





 
Pip: 154
 
Pip: 161
 

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 3 bar/22 24/21 8/5*(2) -0.011
  2 3 bar/22 13/10 8/5*(2) -0.063 (-0.052)
  3 2 bar/22 8/5*(2) 6/3 -0.202 (-0.190)
Alert: Joker (0.332)


Move 3 White





 
Pip: 159
 
Pip: 149
 

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 3 bar/22 7/4*(2) 6/3* 0.337
  2 3 bar/22 13/10 7/4*(2) 0.300 (-0.037)
  3 3 bar/22 24/21 7/4*(2) 0.294 (-0.042)


Move 4 Orange





 
Pip: 147
 
Pip: 156
 

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 1 bar/22* -0.130


Move 4 White





 
Pip: 169
 
Pip: 153
 


Cube action equityAlert: Correct decision not to double
3-Ply Money equity: 0.159
  0.6%  16.5%  55.5%    44.5%  11.9%   0.4%
Double decision Good enough: 1%  
  Too good to double: 0%  
Take decision Current Cube Doubled Cube Borderline
Equities 0.127 0.213 0.554
Proper cube action:   No double, take

# Ply Move Equity
  1 3 bar/22 13/8 0.164
* 2 3 bar/22 8/3* 0.146 (-0.018)
  3 3 bar/17 0.123 (-0.041)
13/8 is ugly, but healthy.


Move 5 Orange





 
Pip: 161
 
Pip: 156
 

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 1 bar/22* bar/24 0.213
Alert: Joker (0.327)


Move 5 White





 
Pip: 183
 
Pip: 152
 

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 1 Can't move -0.422


Move 6 Orange





 
Pip: 183
 
Pip: 152
 


Cube action equityAlert: Correct decision not to double
3-Ply Money equity: 0.343
  1.1%  23.5%  59.9%    40.1%   9.9%   0.3%
Double decision Good enough: 0%  
  Too good to double: 0%  
Take decision Current Cube Doubled Cube Borderline
Equities 0.415 0.196 0.525
Proper cube action:   No double, take

# Ply Move Equity
  1 3 13/7 0.260
  2 3 24/18 0.227 (-0.033)
* 3 3 24/22 13/9 0.216 (-0.044)
It "feels" like playing softly, but he still has a very good position. I still have some feeling the "Bulgarian" 3 anchor is good at this score


Move 6 White





 
Pip: 183
 
Pip: 146
 

# Ply Move Equity
  1 3 bar/22 24/21 13/10(2) -0.271
* 2 3 bar/22 13/10(2) 8/5 -0.272 (-0.001)
  3 3 bar/22 24/21 13/10 8/5 -0.296 (-0.025)


Move 7 Orange





 
Pip: 171
 
Pip: 146
 

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 1 9/4 6/4 0.479
  2 1 9/7 6/1* 0.124 (-0.355)
  3 1 22/17 9/7 0.061 (-0.419)


Move 7 White





 
Pip: 171
 
Pip: 139
 

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 3 24/23 22/17 -0.453
  2 3 22/16 -0.454 (-0.001)
  3 3 22/17 5/4 -0.479 (-0.025)


Move 8 Orange





 
Pip: 165
 
Pip: 139
 


Cube action equityAlert: Correct decision not to double
3-Ply Money equity: 0.382
  1.2%  23.1%  61.7%    38.3%   9.1%   0.3%
Double decision Good enough: 5%  
  Too good to double: 0%  
Take decision Current Cube Doubled Cube Borderline
Equities 0.453 0.240 0.526
Proper cube action:   No double, take

# Ply Move Equity
  1 3 13/5 0.353
* 2 3 13/7 6/4 0.327 (-0.025)
  3 3 22/14 0.281 (-0.072)


Move 8 White





 
Pip: 165
 
Pip: 131
 

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 2 17/11 10/7(2) -0.247
  2 2 13/7(2) -0.351 (-0.104)
  3 2 17/5 -0.399 (-0.152)


Move 9 Orange





 
Pip: 153
 
Pip: 131
 

# Ply Move Equity
  1 3 7/2* 0.111
* 2 3 7/5 4/1 0.080 (-0.031)
  3 3 13/10 4/2* 0.046 (-0.065)
I don't like hitting on my two point here.


Move 9 White





 
Pip: 153
 
Pip: 126
 

# Ply Move Equity
  1 3 11/7 -0.141
* 2 3 23/22 11/8 -0.158 (-0.016)
  3 3 23/22 11/9 5/4 -0.209 (-0.068)


Move 10 Orange





 
Pip: 149
 
Pip: 126
 

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 3 22/17* 5/4 0.354
  2 3 22/17*/16 0.344 (-0.011)
  3 3 22/17* 6/5 0.287 (-0.068)


Move 10 White





 
Pip: 166
 
Pip: 120
 

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 1 Can't move -0.565


Move 11 Orange





 
Pip: 166
 
Pip: 120
 


Cube action equityAlert: Correct decision not to double
3-Ply Money equity: 0.496
  1.3%  27.3%  64.5%    35.5%   7.6%   0.2%
Double decision Good enough: 7%  
  Too good to double: 0%  
Take decision Current Cube Doubled Cube Borderline
Equities 0.582 0.343 0.533
Proper cube action:   No double, take

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 2 6/1 0.544
  2 2 17/13 6/5 0.386 (-0.159)
  3 1 13/8 0.172 (-0.373)


Move 11 White





 
Pip: 166
 
Pip: 115
 

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 1 Can't move -0.667


Move 12 Orange





 
Pip: 166
 
Pip: 115
 


Cube action equityAlert: Correct decision not to double
3-Ply Money equity: 0.564
  1.4%  29.2%  66.1%    33.9%   6.3%   0.2%
Double decision Good enough: 23%  
  Too good to double: 1%  
Take decision Current Cube Doubled Cube Borderline
Equities 0.658 0.408 0.545
Proper cube action:   No double, take

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 2 17/13 0.597
  2 2 17/16 13/10 0.477 (-0.120)
  3 2 7/4 7/6 0.458 (-0.139)
Even at this score I can utilize all 4 points of a "semi-automatic" redouble. And the gammon is not in sight.
I admit I did not know what to do here. Perhaps at 3 away I should be a little more cautious, but not here. He is on the bar and I am 50 pips ahead.


Move 12 White





 
Pip: 166
 
Pip: 111
 

# Ply Move Equity
  1 3 bar/22 5/1 -0.643
* 2 3 bar/22 7/3* -0.668 (-0.024)
  3 1 bar/22 13/9 -0.812 (-0.168)


Move 13 Orange





 
Pip: 159
 
Pip: 114
 


Cube action equityAlert: Correct decision not to double
3-Ply Money equity: 0.571
  2.2%  32.0%  65.5%    34.5%   7.8%   0.2%
Double decision Good enough: 75%  
  Too good to double: 20%  
Take decision Current Cube Doubled Cube Borderline
Equities 0.671 0.389 0.553
Proper cube action:   No double, take

# Ply Move Equity
  1 3 bar/22* 13/7 0.992
* 2 3 bar/22*/16 0.972 (-0.020)
  3 1 bar/22* 7/1 0.669 (-0.323)


Move 13 White





 
Pip: 181
 
Pip: 105
 

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 1 Can't move -1.123


Move 14 Orange





 
Pip: 181
 
Pip: 105
 


Cube action equityAlert: Correct decision not to double
1-Ply Money equity: 0.972
  4.0%  47.4%  74.9%    25.1%   3.9%   0.1%
Double decision Good enough: Huge  
  Too good to double: 100%  
Take decision Current Cube Doubled Cube Borderline
Equities 1.123 0.729 0.580
Proper cube action:   Too good to double, pass

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 3 16/10 13/7(3) 1.222
  2 3 16/4 13/7(2) 1.098 (-0.124)
  3 2 16/10 13/7(2) 7/1 1.089 (-0.133)
Now I am too good to double.


Move 14 White





 
Pip: 181
 
Pip: 81
 

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 1 Can't move -1.369


Move 15 Orange





 
Pip: 181
 
Pip: 81
 


Cube action equityAlert: Correct decision not to double
1-Ply Money equity: 1.189
  4.9%  56.6%  79.5%    20.5%   1.5%   0.0%
Double decision Good enough: Huge  
  Too good to double: 100%  
Take decision Current Cube Doubled Cube Borderline
Equities 1.369 0.911 0.602
Proper cube action:   Too good to double, pass

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 2 7/4 7/5 1.346
  2 2 7/5 4/1 1.233 (-0.113)
  3 2 10/5 1.156 (-0.191)


Move 15 White





 
Pip: 181
 
Pip: 76
 

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 1 Can't move -1.478


Move 16 Orange





 
Pip: 181
 
Pip: 76
 


Cube action equityAlert: Correct decision not to double
1-Ply Money equity: 1.285
  5.7%  60.7%  81.7%    18.3%   1.2%   0.0%
Double decision Good enough: Huge  
  Too good to double: 100%  
Take decision Current Cube Doubled Cube Borderline
Equities 1.478 0.984 0.609
Proper cube action:   Too good to double, pass

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 2 10/5 7/6 1.490
  2 2 7/1 1.376 (-0.114)
  3 1 10/4 1.219 (-0.271)


Move 16 White





 
Pip: 181
 
Pip: 70
 

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 1 Can't move -1.585


Move 17 Orange





 
Pip: 181
 
Pip: 70
 


Cube action equityAlert: Correct decision not to double
1-Ply Money equity: 1.362
  4.1%  67.4%  82.6%    17.4%   0.3%   0.0%
Double decision Good enough: Huge  
  Too good to double: 100%  
Take decision Current Cube Doubled Cube Borderline
Equities 1.582 1.054 0.621
Proper cube action:   Too good to double, pass

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 1 5/2 4/2 1.838
  2 1 7/4 7/5 1.614 (-0.224)
  3 1 6/1 1.381 (-0.457)


Move 17 White





 
Pip: 181
 
Pip: 65
 

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 3 bar/22 13/11 -1.730
  2 3 bar/22 5/3 -1.736 (-0.006)
  3 3 bar/22 7/5 -1.776 (-0.045)


Move 18 Orange





 
Pip: 176
 
Pip: 65
 


Cube action equityAlert: Correct decision not to double
1-Ply Money equity: 1.495
  3.6%  70.0%  88.1%    11.9%   0.2%   0.0%
Double decision Good enough: Huge  
  Too good to double: 100%  
Take decision Current Cube Doubled Cube Borderline
Equities 1.725 1.182 0.625
Proper cube action:   Too good to double, pass

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 3 6/4 5/1 1.606
  2 3 6/2 4/2 1.574 (-0.032)
  3 2 5/1 4/2 1.519 (-0.087)


Move 18 White





 
Pip: 176
 
Pip: 59
 

# Ply Move Equity
  1 3 22/16 11/9 -1.629
  2 3 13/7 11/9 -1.630 (-0.001)
* 4 3 22/14 -1.634 (-0.005)


Move 19 Orange





 
Pip: 168
 
Pip: 59
 


Cube action equityAlert: Correct decision not to double
1-Ply Money equity: 1.447
  2.1%  69.7%  86.6%    13.4%   0.3%   0.0%
Double decision Good enough: Huge  
  Too good to double: 100%  
Take decision Current Cube Doubled Cube Borderline
Equities 1.679 1.150 0.625
Proper cube action:   Too good to double, pass

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 1 7/1 7/5 1.799
  2 1 7/1 4/2 1.244 (-0.556)
  3 1 7/1 6/4 0.798 (-1.001)


Move 19 White





 
Pip: 168
 
Pip: 51
 

# Ply Move Equity
  1 3 14/8 11/8 -1.769
  2 3 13/7 11/8 -1.769 (-0.000)
* 4 3 22/13 -1.779 (-0.010)


Move 20 Orange





 
Pip: 159
 
Pip: 51
 


Cube action equityAlert: Correct decision not to double
1-Ply Money equity: 1.524
  1.0%  73.2%  89.1%    10.9%   0.1%   0.0%
Double decision Good enough: Huge  
  Too good to double: 100%  
Take decision Current Cube Doubled Cube Borderline
Equities 1.771 1.224 0.631
Proper cube action:   Too good to double, pass

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 2 5/2 4/off 1.726
  2 2 5/1 4/1 1.605 (-0.121)
  3 2 4/off 4/1 1.604 (-0.122)


Move 20 White





 
Pip: 159
 
Pip: 44
 

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 3 14/8 13/7 -1.715
  2 3 13/10(2) 10/7 11/8 -1.716 (-0.001)
  3 3 14/8 13/10 11/8 -1.717 (-0.002)


Move 21 Orange





 
Pip: 147
 
Pip: 44
 


Cube action equityAlert: Correct decision not to double
1-Ply Money equity: 1.458
  0.7%  69.1%  88.0%    12.0%   0.0%   0.0%
Double decision Good enough: Huge  
  Too good to double: 100%  
Take decision Current Cube Doubled Cube Borderline
Equities 1.692 1.179 0.625
Proper cube action:   Too good to double, pass

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 2 6/1 6/2 1.779
  2 2 5/off 5/1 1.614 (-0.164)
  3 1 6/1 4/off 1.162 (-0.617)


Move 21 White





 
Pip: 147
 
Pip: 35
 

# Ply Move Equity
* 1 3 22/16 13/10 11/8 -1.692
  2 3 22/10 -1.700 (-0.007)
  3 3 22/13 11/8 -1.701 (-0.009)


Move 22 Orange





 
Pip: 135
 
Pip: 35
 

22. Orange Double
  White Pass

Cube action equityAlert: Wrong double
3-Ply Money equity: 1.459
  0.2%  66.7%  89.5%    10.5%   0.0%   0.0%
Double decision Good enough: Huge  
  Too good to double: Huge  
Take decision Current Cube Doubled Cube Borderline
Equities 1.686 1.195 0.624
Proper cube action:   Too good to double, pass

I saw 8 shot leaving numbers 52, 62 and the big doubles. Maybe some 1 or 2 numbers later. This meant to me he would hit 12-13% of the time. I did not consider, though, that not all hits are wins. I would accept a cube with 20% CWP and I think I have them after the hits on my 4 point (with 4 checkers off) before he closes his 3 point or 9 point. I should have played for the gammon here.

svilo wins 1 point.

Game 5 statistics
Player svilo acepoint
Overall 0.891 0.210
Rating advanced world class
Error rate 0.823 0.540
Nb errors (Nb blunders) 4 (0) 1 (0)
Luck rate (Nb joker) 3.356 (2) -3.356 (1)
Nb unforced moves 19 14
Nb wrong double 1 (DP: 0.00 TG: 4.76) 0 (DP: 0.00 TG: 0.00)
Nb missed double 0 (DP: 0.00 TG: 0.00) 0 (DP: 0.00 TG: 0.00)
Overall doubling error 1 (DP: 0.00 TG: 4.76) 0 (DP: 0.00 TG: 0.00)
Nb wrong take 0 (0.00) 0 (0.00)
Nb wrong pass 0 (0.00) 0 (0.00)
Overall take error 0 (0.00) 0 (0.00)

This file has been generated by Snowie Professional EditionVersion 1.1, a product of Oasya SA
Output date: 2:11:59 AM, 12/5/98